Alfonso Ugarte de Puno vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALF
26%
25%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 0
PIR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALF
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AUN
1 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 3
AYA
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 1
FCS
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
FCS
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
PIR
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |