Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 2
PIN
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 0
VIS
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
VIS
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 2
FAN
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |