Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALF
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
JES
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLY
1 - 1
ALF
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 2
PIN
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 3
PIN
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
4 - 1
CIV
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 3
CAM
27%
26%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 0
CIV
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 1
REC
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |