Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
ALF
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 0
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
ALF
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
CIV
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALF
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAN
15%
24%
61%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
CIV
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAS
83%
13%
5%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
ASD
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALF
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |