Alfindén A.D vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfindén A.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AND
2 - 1
ALF
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 3
ACF
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 1
ATC
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALF
4 - 3
LAA
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 3
CDU
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 0
LAA
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CDU
3 - 3
UDM
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 5
FUE
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDM
3 - 2
UDM
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UDM
1 - 2
QUI
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |