Alfindén A.D vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfindén A.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
STA
3 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 0
PEN
40%
26%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZUE
4 - 1
ALF
37%
26%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 1
UDC
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UDP
0 - 0
ALF
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
UDM
3 - 0
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CFA
4 - 1
UDM
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 5
TAM
25%
24%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ACF
1 - 0
UDM
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDA
1 - 0
UDM
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |