Alfenense vs Maia Lidador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALF
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 0
NOG
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
ALF
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
DSA
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
CUS
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Maia Lidador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LAV
0 - 1
MAI
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
BAI
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
INF
2 - 1
MAI
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 1
PED
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |