Alfenense vs Vilarinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NOG
1 - 1
ALF
55%
22%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALP
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DSA
0 - 1
ALF
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vilarinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 2
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAI
37%
23%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |