Alfenense vs Baião analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
57.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INF
1 - 0
ALF
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 0
MAI
31%
23%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALF
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 0
NOG
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
ALF
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAI
2 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAV
0 - 1
BAI
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PED
3 - 1
BAI
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAI
1 - 0
INF
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
BAI
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |