Alfarim GD vs União Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
SES
0 - 0
ALF
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BMA
2 - 4
ALF
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
PAL
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALF
30%
24%
47%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
OMO
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
União Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
USA
2 - 5
BMA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
USA
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
USA
1 - 1
MCA
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OGR
0 - 0
USA
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
USA
5 - 0
ARR
87%
10%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |