Alfarim GD vs Olimpico Montijo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MCA
0 - 3
ALF
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 2
CIN
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OGR
1 - 1
ALF
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALC
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
ALF
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpico Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OMO
1 - 1
CIN
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 0
OMO
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OMO
0 - 6
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UBA
1 - 0
OMO
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OMO
2 - 1
USA
28%
23%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |