Alfarim GD vs Almada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarim GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
OMO
0 - 1
ALF
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
MCA
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 0
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
OGR
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALF
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Almada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MCA
4 - 3
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
OGR
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 3
ALM
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHC
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AMO
2 - 0
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |