Alfândega vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 3
HSA
32%
21%
47%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
1 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 5
BEN
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
CPK
15 - 0
ALF
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 9
LAI
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 1
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 6
MCA
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MCA
6 - 5
WAK
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |