Alfamen vs Embid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
14.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfamen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALF
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALF
3 - 2
EPI
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CFI
2 - 1
ALF
88%
8%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GOT
3 - 0
ALF
39%
21%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
5 - 2
SAB
66%
16%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SES
3 - 2
EMB
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EMB
4 - 2
RIC
39%
23%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
4 - 0
EMB
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EMB
1 - 2
EPI
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CFI
3 - 1
EMB
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |