Alfacar UD vs Purullena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+328%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALF
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
PMO
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 7
ALF
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ALF
4 - 2
ALO
50%
20%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
OTU
2 - 3
ALF
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Purullena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PUR
2 - 0
CDD
10%
15%
76%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 0
PUR
63%
19%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PUR
0 - 2
CHU
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GAB
1 - 1
PUR
74%
15%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PUR
0 - 2
CEL
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |