Alfacar UD vs Purullena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+377%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ARE
3 - 0
ALF
67%
20%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
CDH
25%
24%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHU
2 - 1
ALF
30%
25%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BAZ
0 - 1
ALF
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
4 - 2
CAÑ
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Purullena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PUR
1 - 3
CUL
61%
21%
19%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUR
3 - 1
ARE
29%
24%
46%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDH
4 - 0
PUR
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CHU
0 - 2
PUR
35%
25%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PUR
3 - 1
BAZ
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |