Alfacar UD vs Purullena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+424%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
ALF
36%
25%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 1
CDD
78%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALM
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 2
ALF
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALH
4 - 1
ALF
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Purullena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PUR
3 - 1
ALH
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 2
PUR
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RAY
3 - 1
PUR
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PUR
2 - 1
CDH
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
PUR
38%
23%
38%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |