Alfacar UD vs Cf Villanueva Mesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UDM
3 - 1
ALF
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 5
GAB
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PUR
1 - 2
ALF
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 0
SAL
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PMO
2 - 0
ALF
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cf Villanueva Mesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 2
CDD
76%
14%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 3
CFV
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
3 - 0
CFC
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CUL
2 - 1
CFV
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 1
SAN
21%
20%
60%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |