Alfacar UD vs Cf Villanueva Mesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 1
ALF
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
5 - 0
MED
40%
21%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALF
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
UDM
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
ALF
62%
19%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cf Villanueva Mesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CFV
1 - 0
OTU
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 6
CFV
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFV
3 - 4
ZUB
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MED
0 - 2
CFV
6%
11%
83%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CFV
0 - 3
CDV
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |