Alfacar UD vs CD Dúrcal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALF
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 1
ALF
83%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALF
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 2
CFV
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 4
CEL
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 3
CIU
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
CUL
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDD
88%
8%
3%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 3
GUA
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |