Alfacar UD vs CD Dúrcal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
57.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
CFV
14%
16%
71%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 1
ALF
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
5 - 0
MED
40%
21%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALF
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
UDM
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
7 - 2
CEL
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MED
2 - 1
CDD
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
5 - 0
ALM
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UDM
2 - 2
CDD
26%
20%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 2
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |