Alfacar UD vs Ciudad de Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 1
CDD
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALF
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 1
ALF
83%
11%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALF
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 3
UDM
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 3
CIU
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 1
GAB
8%
15%
78%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
5 - 0
CIU
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 3
PUR
43%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |