Alfacar Atletico vs Atlético Baza 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 3
ALF
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 0
COL
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALH
1 - 3
ALF
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 0
DGU
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
3 - 2
VIZ
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Baza 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 0
VIZ
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
ATL
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
6 - 2
CDM
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
ESC
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FVA
3 - 2
ATL
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |