Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
4º
4º
46
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 1 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ALE
1 - 2
VCO
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 3
CSD
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 1
ALE
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ALE
1 - 1
ACS
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CSO
0 - 0
ALE
13%
23%
64%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Progresul Spartac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PSB
1 - 1
CSD
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PSB
2 - 1
DUN
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ACS
0 - 3
PSB
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PSB
1 - 0
CSO
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
HUN
3 - 1
PSB
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |