Alertanavia CP vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alertanavia CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 2
ALE
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
BAR
14%
19%
68%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 0
ALE
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 2
POR
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
ALE
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 4
PON
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 3
POR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
ANT
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOA
1 - 2
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |