Alera vs Uncastillo J analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
35.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+504%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PRA
5 - 0
ALE
59%
19%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 5
LUN
18%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OLV
9 - 0
ALE
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 2
BAR
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LUN
7 - 0
ALE
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UNC
0 - 8
PIN
27%
20%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PRA
9 - 1
UNC
53%
20%
28%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
7 - 1
UNC
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UNC
1 - 1
LUC
14%
16%
70%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UNC
1 - 3
BAR
53%
20%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |