Alera vs Uncastillo J analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+350%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REM
2 - 1
ALE
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BIO
0 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 1
PRA
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 5
VAL
29%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 2
LUN
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uncastillo J
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
UNC
1 - 4
BOR
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNC
5 - 6
BIO
27%
22%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
6 - 0
UNC
60%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UNC
1 - 4
VAL
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LUN
6 - 0
UNC
68%
17%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |