Alera vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 0
ALE
42%
21%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
UNC
39%
20%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 4
NOV
23%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUN
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BIO
5 - 1
ALE
54%
19%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
BIO
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 4
SAN
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PUY
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MCD
2 - 3
BAR
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
EBC
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |