Alera vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AGR
2 - 0
ALE
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
UNC
34%
19%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUY
3 - 1
ALE
64%
17%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 4
LUN
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALE
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
PUY
44%
23%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
LUN
3 - 0
BAR
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
58%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PIN
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |