Alera vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BOR
6 - 0
ALE
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 4
SAN
58%
19%
23%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
PUY
3 - 3
ALE
87%
8%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 2
ALE
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 2
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNC
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
PUY
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 7
BOR
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
DEP
7 - 2
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |