Alemannia Aachen vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 1
FCN
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BVB
0 - 0
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 4
STU
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ARB
5 - 1
AAA
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
AAA
4 - 2
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 3
BVB
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 2
BRE
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
COT
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
LSO
0 - 3
BRE
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
M05
1 - 6
BRE
18%
22%
60%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |