Alemannia Aachen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
AAA
3 - 0
TUS
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
WEG
3 - 2
AAA
28%
24%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 4
LEV
5%
13%
83%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
WUP
2 - 1
AAA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VFB
1 - 3
WUP
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
VFB
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VFB
1 - 2
ROT
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
VFB
16%
20%
63%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 0
KRA
71%
17%
13%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |