Alemannia Aachen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1965 |
AAA
2 - 1
HAN
64%
18%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
29%
26%
46%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROT
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ROT
0 - 1
AAA
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
WUP
2 - 0
AAA
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
VFB
1 - 4
HAM
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
EID
3 - 0
VFB
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
VFB
0 - 0
EGE
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
PRE
4 - 2
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
VFB
0 - 0
ROT
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |