Alemannia Aachen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WEG
2 - 2
AAA
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
AAA
2 - 3
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ERN
1 - 2
AAA
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 0
AAA
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AAA
0 - 1
DIE
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 3
RWA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
VEL
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
VIK
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |