Alemannia Aachen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
KFC
2 - 2
AAA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AAA
0 - 2
ROT
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AAA
2 - 0
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
WIE
1 - 2
AAA
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
5 - 3
VEL
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
WIE
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
VIK
4 - 0
VEL
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
SPO
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |