Alemannia Aachen vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SCF
2 - 1
AAA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 2
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
AAA
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AAA
6 - 2
FCN
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
AAA
3 - 3
ROS
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
STP
3 - 2
ROS
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MUN
5 - 1
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
STP
2 - 0
KAI
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
ROT
3 - 2
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
STP
0 - 3
SGF
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |