Alemannia Aachen vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
HAN
1 - 1
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 0
PRE
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
USO
3 - 0
AAA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 4
TEN
44%
24%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
OSN
1 - 1
AAA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
SWE
2 - 1
KFC
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 3
ROT
27%
25%
47%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
AHA
5 - 1
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
SWE
0 - 1
RWL
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |