Alemannia Aachen vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
RWL
4 - 1
AAA
35%
23%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
ARB
2 - 1
AAA
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
SPO
1 - 1
AAA
29%
22%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
AAA
2 - 1
ARB
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
EGE
1 - 1
AAA
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
SWE
2 - 1
GUT
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
SWE
5 - 3
ERK
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ARG
3 - 2
SWE
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
SWE
5 - 1
SCO
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
WHE
0 - 2
SWE
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |