Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
AHA
3 - 3
AAA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
AAA
3 - 4
RWL
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
LEV
0 - 1
AAA
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 1
OSC
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 0
KFC
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
4 - 3
ROT
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 0
SCH
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ROT
4 - 0
AHA
80%
13%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
RWL
3 - 2
ROT
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |