Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KSC
0 - 0
AAA
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 2
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 3
OFC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SAA
1 - 2
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 1
BOR
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ERF
0 - 2
ARB
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OSN
1 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ERF
1 - 1
STU
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 0
ERF
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ERF
0 - 4
HEI
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |