Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAA
1 - 2
AAA
27%
25%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 0
EIN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
SGD
2 - 0
AAA
22%
25%
54%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 5
ERZ
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 1
AAA
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
ERF
3 - 0
EIN
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
ERZ
3 - 2
ERF
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
RWA
2 - 3
ERF
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ERF
1 - 2
SGF
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MUN
3 - 1
ERF
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |