Alemannia Aachen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
F95
0 - 0
AAA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AAA
2 - 1
STP
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
EBT
1 - 1
AAA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
4 - 2
EIN
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 2
SGD
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SGF
5 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 2
FCU
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
F95
2 - 3
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |