Alemannia Aachen vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 4
AAA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 1
EBT
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
MUN
0 - 0
AAA
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 2
HAN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 1
OFC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
4 - 0
SPO
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 1
SCF
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 1
PAD
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 0
EBT
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
MUN
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |