Alemannia Aachen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 1
AAA
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 1
ING
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
AAA
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 0
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
FSV
1 - 3
AAA
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LEV
0 - 1
M05
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
M05
0 - 1
HSV
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
M05
4 - 2
HOF
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
1 - 2
M05
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
M05
2 - 0
KOL
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |