Alemannia Aachen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
STP
3 - 2
AAA
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
WEH
1 - 0
AAA
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
MSV
3 - 2
AAA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
ING
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
M05
5 - 0
WEH
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AUG
0 - 2
M05
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
M05
3 - 1
KOL
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
M05
2 - 0
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ROS
2 - 2
M05
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |