Alemannia Aachen vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
M05
1 - 4
AAA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 3
STP
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SCF
2 - 1
AAA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 2
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
AAA
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 0
MUN
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OSN
5 - 1
SGF
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SGF
3 - 1
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
KAI
1 - 2
SGF
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TUS
3 - 0
SGF
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |