Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WUP
5 - 0
AAA
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
AAA
5 - 3
STR
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
AAA
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AAA
1 - 4
RWA
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 1
AAA
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIE
0 - 1
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
KÖL
4 - 0
KFC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 2
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KÖL
4 - 2
LIP
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
S04
1 - 1
KÖL
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |