Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
OFC
1 - 2
AAA
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AAA
2 - 1
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
AAA
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
AAA
2 - 2
TEN
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
BOC
5 - 0
AAA
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 3
KSC
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
HAN
3 - 1
KÖL
71%
17%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 1
M05
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |