Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
WAT
1 - 2
AAA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
AAA
2 - 1
SAA
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
HES
1 - 5
AAA
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
EBT
4 - 3
AAA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROT
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
KÖL
0 - 2
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 3
KÖL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
KÖL
0 - 2
OSN
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
SCF
4 - 1
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BWB
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |