Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 1
AAA
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
AAA
4 - 0
MSV
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
STP
1 - 1
AAA
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
AAA
1 - 3
BWB
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
FCN
2 - 1
AAA
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
STP
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
KÖL
4 - 2
DAR
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
KÖL
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
KÖL
1 - 0
BWB
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |